Proposed 'free childcare' funding changes likely to hit areas with declining early years places the hardest, Alliance analysis reveals

Leading membership organisation the Early Years Alliance has issued a press release on upcoming changes to the levels of funding that nurseries, pre-schools and childminders are set to receive in 2023/24 under new government proposals which are currently under consultation. 

Upcoming changes to so-called 鈥榝ree childcare鈥 funding in England are likely to hit local authorities already struggling with declining early years places 鈥 largely in northern England 鈥 much harder than areas 鈥 largely in London and the south-east 鈥 that have seen the availability of early years places rise over recent years, new analysis from leading early years membership organisation the Early Years Alliance has found. 

The Department for Education (DfE) is currently consulting on changes to the formulas it uses to calculate how much early years funding each local council in England receives from central government. The idea behind the formulas is that the more expensive it is for nurseries, pre-schools and childminding settings to operate in an area, the more early years funding that area should receive.

While the majority of the consultation is focused on relatively minor changes to the underlying data used to estimate how expensive it is for settings to operate in different areas of the country, the DfE is also proposing to set new fixed minimum and maximum increases to early years funding rates between 2022/23 and 2023/24 鈥 what it terms 鈥榶ear-to-year protections鈥.

Under current proposals, these 鈥榩rotections鈥 would see funding rates for those councils who do the worst from the early years funding formulas increase by just 1% for both the two-year-old and the three- and four-year-old offers.

In contrast, those local authorities who do the best from the formulas would see their early years funding rise by up to around 8.6% for the two-year-old offer and around 4.5% for the three- and four-year-old offer. 

The DfE has published  showing how much of an increase each local authority in England is likely to receive in 2023-24 based on its current funding formula proposals.

Alliance analysis of these estimates has found: 

  • There are 19 local authorities who the DfE expects to receive the maximum possible increases in both two-year-old funding and three- and four-year-old funding next year, 13 of which are in London and the south-east.  
  • These 19 areas have already seen an average increase in early years places of 4.6%, with one area (Hackney) seeing an increase over 24%, over the last five years.

  • In contrast, there are 20 local authorities in England that the DfE expects to receive the minimum possible increases in both two-year-old and three- and four-year-old funding next year, 13 of which are in the north-east, north-west or Yorkshire and the Humber.
  • These 20 areas have already seen an average decline in early years places of 1.6%, with some areas seeing declines of over 10%, over the past five years.

Commenting on the findings, Neil Leitch: 

鈥淲hile we recognise the need to ensure that local early years funding levels accurately reflect the costs of delivering places in different areas, it is incredibly concerning that so many areas that are already seeing a decline in early years places are set to receive such miniscule increases in funding. 

鈥淟et鈥檚 be clear: a 1% increase in early years funding at a time when inflation rates are at record highs, energy costs are soaring and the national minimum and living wages are continuing to rise is simply not sustainable 鈥 and the likelihood is that many of the nurseries, pre-schools and childminding settings operating in these areas are very likely to struggle to remain afloat for much longer. 

鈥淭he government鈥檚 insistence on focusing on national statistics when talking about the availability of early years places completely ignores the huge regional discrepancies that have emerged over recent years. What use is it telling a parent that there are plenty of places available across the country if there are none in their local area? 

鈥淯ltimately, until there is enough money in the early years funding pot to begin with, there will always be areas that lose out, no matter how it is distributed. The government simply must commit to investing what our vital sector needs to remain viable. Ignoring this problem will not make it go away.鈥 

 

Editor鈥檚 notes

  • 鈥楶ercentage change in places between March 2017 and March 2022鈥 figures have been calculated using 新澳门六合彩官网开奖 data on the number of places in each local authority in England in March 2017 and in March 2022. This data is publicly available .
  • Figures showing the predicted changes in early years funding rates for each local authority in 2023/24 were taken from the Department for Education鈥檚 .
  • While the majority of LAs will see a funding increase of between 1% and 4.5% for three- and four-year-olds and 1% and 8.6% for two-year-olds, some LAs are expected to see changes slightly outside of these limits due to rounding (after protections are applied, hourly rates are rounded (up or down) to the nearest penny, resulting in some increases slightly above 4.5% / 8.6% and some slightly below 1%).